PSG vs. Arsenal Prediction Today: Expert Picks & Odds for Champions League Semifinal
All eyes are on North London today as Arsenal kicks off their first Champions League semifinal since 2009 when they host Paris Saint-Germain for a 3 p.m. ET match at Emirates Stadium on Paramount+. Our PSG vs. Arsenal prediction and expert picks break down the first leg of the European contest from a betting perspective.
The Champions League odds at our best sports betting sites list the hosts as moneyline favorites of +115. Who will take the advantage into the second leg in the French capital?
💰 PSG vs. Arsenal expert picks: Champions League semifinal today
Check out all of our soccer picks for the Champions League and more.
✅ Against the spread pick: Arsenal -0.5 (-125 via Caesars) ⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Draw (+250 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Under 2.5 goals (-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📈PSG vs. Arsenal betting insights
Here are some betting insights in the hours before the match starts.
- Arsenal opened as the +105 favorite, and that price has now moved slightly to as long as +116
- The Under on 2.5 goals opened at -110, and it's now shifted to -115 at some of our best soccer betting sites
💡 PSG vs. Arsenal prediction & best bet
🎯 Score prediction: Arsenal 1, PSG 1
While one Champions League semifinal (Barcelona vs. Inter Milan) features a combined eight big-eared trophies between them, the other features an empty European trophy cabinet. As such, both teams could be hesitant to force their hands too much in the first leg.
They've already met once, with Arsenal beating PSG 2-0 at the Emirates Stadium on matchday two of the Champions League group stage. The Parisians have grown perhaps more than any side on the continent since then, but don't expect the Gunners to approach the match in the same way as before.
It's incredibly difficult to try and find an edge in this match, but we feel confident there will be fewer than three goals scored in the first leg.
Both Arsenal and PSG sit atop their respective league tables in goals allowed. The Gunners have given up 29 goals across 34 matches in the Premier League, despite injuries at the back. The Parisians have surrendered 31 goals in as many games en route to 24 wins, impressive considering they locked up the Ligue 1 title a month ago.
Mikel Arteta's men have given up one goal across two first legs in the UCL knockout stages, compared to Luis Enrique's team, which has surrendered two goals in three similar showdowns. Despite all of the attacking talent in both ranks, it's difficult to imagine these defenses being broken down easily in the opening match of the tie.
FanDuel has the best odds (-108) for Under 2.5 goals. These odds imply a 51.92% probability the game will go Under, just as the first meeting between the European giants did.
✅ Best bet: Under 2.5 goals (-108 via FanDuel)
⚽ Best PSG vs. Arsenal Champions League player prop bet
🔎 Our NEW player prop odds tool can help you find the best betting odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!
🔥 Nuno Mendes to receive a booking ⭐⭐⭐
Mendes has the joint-most yellow cards in the Champions League, alongside Marquinhos, with three. While there's better value in betting on the centerback to be booked, the left back has a tougher assignment against Arsenal.
The 22-year-old will be tasked with trying to keep Bukayo Saka - one of Europe's most electric one-on-one wingers - at bay. Saka is one of the UCL's best dribblers, ranking inside the top 25, despite playing just seven matches in the competition.
This could lead to Mendes taking a tactical foul or two throughout the night as Saka attempts to take him on in isolated areas out wide. A $10 wager would return $36 in profits if the Portuguese fullback has his name taken by the referee during the first leg.
🔢 Best odds: +360 via Caesars
Caesars is a 21+ product
📈 PSG vs. Arsenal odds
Live updated odds from our best sports betting sites.
PSG vs. Arsenal moneyline odds
The latest PSG vs. Arsenal odds as of Tuesday morning list the Gunners as +115 moneyline favorites, with PSG as +230 underdogs. A draw has +240 odds and would return a profit of $24 on a winning $10 bet.
Arsenal's odds give them a 46.51% chance of securing the outright victory in the first leg of this Champions League semifinal.
🚑 PSG vs. Arsenal injury report
📺 How to watch PSG vs. Arsenal live Tuesday
📅 Tuesday, April 29
🕗 3 p.m. ET
📍 Emirates Stadium (London)
💻 Paramount+
💵 Best soccer betting sites
Looking to bet on the UEFA Champions League? Here are the best soccer betting sites and the best sportsbook promos for today's UCL games.
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
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