Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction: Game 5 Odds & Expert Picks
Our expert picks based on the betting odds from the best NBA betting sites envision a way for the Golden State Warriors to waste no time while closing the series out in Game 5 against the Houston Rockets. Our Warriors vs. Rockets prediction finds value on Golden State as a road underdog as part of our NBA picks.
The series returns to Toyota Center in Houston on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT).
The Rockets enter Game 5 with the Warriors as 4.5-point betting favorites, with moneyline odds around -190. The total is set between 203.5 and 204.5.
💰 Warriors vs. Rockets expert picks for Game 5
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✅ Against the spread pick: Warriors +4.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Warriors (+160 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 203.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
🏀 Game 5 prediction & best bet
🎯 Score prediction: Warriors 105, Rockets 103
There are trends here that suggest the Warriors could experience a letdown in Game 5, as Houston is 18-14 against the spread this season in games following an outright loss. That correlates to the Warriors falling short of expectations for sports bettors this year in games after their wins. Golden State is 21-29-1 ATS after victories this season.
The spread has shifted from Rockets -3.5 up to as high as -4.5 in some spots, with 59% of point-spread wagers siding with Houston. So there seems to be a consensus that the Warriors will need to wait to return to the West Coast before securing a first-round series win. But I’m taking the other side, as the No. 7 seed has been delivering the fight to its opponent while already winning one away game at Houston in this series.
Then Jimmy Butler returned from an injury in Game 4 to serve as the emotional leader of a Golden State group that's been keeping its focus throughout adversity.
Golden State has been truly aligning with a road-warriors mentality for bettors this season, posting the league's fourth-best road ATS percentage (24-17-2 ATS, 58.5%). Those numbers are even stronger in spots when the Warriors have been counted out on the road, as they’ve gone 11-7 ATS as a road underdog, covering 61.1% of the time.
The Warriors have looked like the superior team with more postseason pedigree to this point in the series. Teams with that type of killer instinct don’t necessarily need to wait to return home to finish the job. We’re getting an extra point compared to the opening number, so I like the cushion with Warriors +4.5 as our best bet for this Game 5 matchup.
✅ Best bet: Warriors +4.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
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📈 Warriors vs. Rockets odds
Live updated odds from our best sports betting sites.
🪧 Game 5 opening odds
Opening odds via BetMGM.
- Spread: Warriors +3.5 (-105) | Rockets -3.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Warriors +140 | Rockets -170
- Over/Under: Over 205.5 (-105) | Under 205.5 (-115)
🚑 Warriors vs. Rockets injury report
Follow the official NBA injury report for more injury news.
📡 How to watch Warriors vs. Rockets live (Game 5)
📅 Wednesday, April 30
🕗 7:30 p.m. ET
📍 Toyota Center (Houston)
📺 TNT | 🛜 Max and Fubo
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